What if one of Israel's greatest enemies suddenly became part of a plan to reshape Iran?

A remarkable report from The New York Times claims that Israel and the United States explored the possibility of former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad playing a role in a post-Islamic Republic transition.

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine:

• Why Ahmadinejad, a Holocaust denier and longtime adversary of Israel, was considered as a possible transitional figure.
• The strategic challenge of removing a regime without creating chaos.
• Lessons from Iraq and other attempts at regime change.
• Whether intelligence agencies sometimes have to work with deeply flawed individuals to achieve a larger objective.
• The difference between military victory and political transition.
• Why legitimacy, not military power alone, ultimately determines whether a new government can survive.

This episode isn't about defending or condemning the reported plan. It's about exploring one of the oldest dilemmas in statecraft:

When confronting a dangerous regime, how far should democracies go - and who, if anyone, should help build what comes next?

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers historical context, geopolitical analysis, and thoughtful conversations on the events shaping Israel, the Middle East, and the world.

A few weeks ago, I introduced what I called "The Bazaar Strategy" - the idea that President Donald Trump's negotiating style mirrors the bargaining culture of a Middle Eastern marketplace: maximum pressure, strategic unpredictability, and always leaving room for a deal.

Has that strategy now reached its limit?

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine President Trump's latest remarks from Türkiye, where he declared, "I think it's over," describing the Iranian regime as "liars," "cheats," and "sick people," while questioning whether any future agreement is possible.

Has the negotiation truly ended, or is this simply another chapter in a high-stakes strategy?

Join me as we examine one of the most consequential shifts in U.S.-Iran relations - and what it could mean for Israel, the Middle East, and the wider world.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers concise historical context and geopolitical analysis on the events shaping Israel, the Middle East, and global affairs.

Nearly three years after the October 7 massacre, Israel still has not established a truly independent national commission of inquiry.

Instead, the Knesset has advanced legislation to create a politically appointed commission.

Should a government investigate itself?

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, Avi argues that the victims, the hostages, the families of fallen Israeli soldiers, and every Israeli citizen deserve an independent, impartial investigation that follows the evidence wherever it leads.

The episode examines:

• Why an independent commission is essential to a healthy democracy
• The political divisions, judicial reform protests, and internal turmoil that gripped Israel before October 7
• Questions about intelligence sharing, warning signs, and military preparedness
• Lessons from Israel's own Agranat, Kahan, and Winograd Commissions
• International examples, including the U.S. 9/11 Commission and other independent national inquiries
• Why delaying an investigation risks losing evidence, fading memories, and eroding public trust

This episode is not about assigning political blame. It is about ensuring that Israel learns every possible lesson from the darkest day in its history and honors those who paid the ultimate price by seeking the truth.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers thoughtful analysis of Israel, the Middle East, and the geopolitical events shaping our world through historical context and informed discussion.