The Fed's New Focus on the Neutral Rate

Failed to add items

Sorry, we are unable to add the item because your shopping cart is already at capacity.

Add to basket failed.

Please try again later

Add to wishlist failed.

Please try again later

Remove from wishlist failed.

Please try again later

Adding to library failed

Please try again

Follow podcast failed

Unfollow podcast failed

The Fed's New Focus on the Neutral Rate

Listen for free

View show details

With the effective fed funds rate at 3.63% and inflation running hot at 4.2%, the Federal Reserve faces a tricky question: how high is 'high enough'? In this episode, Lucas and Luna break down why the neutral rate of interest — R-star — has become the Fed's obsession in mid-2026. They explore how the post-pandemic economy, energy shocks, and structural changes have likely pushed R-star higher, complicating the FOMC's tightening path. Drawing on recent data including the ten-year breakeven inflation rate of 2.31% and the surprise ECB rate hike, they explain why estimating the neutral rate is more art than science — and why getting it wrong could either keep inflation too high or choke off growth. A focused look at the one number that might matter most to the Fed right now. #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #NeutralRate #RStar #InterestRates #FOMC #Inflation #Economics #CentralBanking #FedFundsRate #ECB #BreakevenRate #CPI #EnergyShocks #TighteningCycle #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economy Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo

No reviews yet